How Do You Know Whether to Believe the Model Forecast? How Do You Know Whether to Believe the Model Forecast?


НазваHow Do You Know Whether to Believe the Model Forecast? How Do You Know Whether to Believe the Model Forecast?
Дата конвертації05.05.2013
Розмір445 b.
ТипПрезентации



How Do You Know Whether to Believe the Model Forecast?

  • How Do You Know Whether to Believe the Model Forecast?



How Do You Know Whether to Believe the Model Forecast?

  • How Do You Know Whether to Believe the Model Forecast?



UNMASKING THE BLACK BOX

  • UNMASKING THE BLACK BOX

  • 8 years of NWP training

  • Navigation, how to find it

  • MetEd site

  • Operational Models Matrix

    • Individual NWP models, ensembles, wave models
    • NWP Course (conceptual background)
    • Model-specific information
    • Forums
    • Ensemble module
  • Case examples – what happened, why

  • VISITview teletraining – integrates content, cases

  • COMET Webcast modules – integrates content, cases

  • Seasonal Powerpoints – summaries, cases



NAVIGATION MetEd home: www.meted.ucar.edu

  • NAVIGATION MetEd home: www.meted.ucar.edu



NAVIGATION MetEd home: www.meted.ucar.edu

  • NAVIGATION MetEd home: www.meted.ucar.edu



NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/pcu2/



NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/pcu2/



NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/pcu2/



NWP COURSE

  • NWP COURSE



NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/pcu2/



MODEL-SPECIFIC CONTENT

  • MODEL-SPECIFIC CONTENT



NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/pcu2/



NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/pcu2/



NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/pcu2/



NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/pcu2/



NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/pcu2/



NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/pcu2/



NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/pcu2/



NAVIGATION Discussion forums

  • NAVIGATION Discussion forums



NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • NAVIGATION Operational Models Matrix

  • www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/pcu2/



MODULES Ensemble Forecasting Explained

  • MODULES Ensemble Forecasting Explained



NAVIGATION Cases

  • NAVIGATION Cases

  • www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/pcu3/cases/



CASES How Good Data Can Lead to a Poor Model Analysis

  • CASES How Good Data Can Lead to a Poor Model Analysis



CASES How Good Data Can Lead to a Poor Model Analysis

  • CASES How Good Data Can Lead to a Poor Model Analysis



CASES How Good Data Can Lead to a Poor Model Analysis

  • CASES How Good Data Can Lead to a Poor Model Analysis



NAVIGATION VISITview Teletraining

  • NAVIGATION VISITview Teletraining

  • http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/visit/topic_nwp.html



VISIT SESSIONS NAM-WRF Update and Performance Discussion

  • VISIT SESSIONS NAM-WRF Update and Performance Discussion



NAVIGATION MetEd home: www.meted.ucar.edu

  • NAVIGATION MetEd home: www.meted.ucar.edu



WEBCASTS Using the WRF Mesoscale Model [AFWA]

  • WEBCASTS Using the WRF Mesoscale Model [AFWA]



WEBCASTS The NCEP NAM WRF Model

  • WEBCASTS The NCEP NAM WRF Model



WEBCASTS The NCEP NAM WRF Model

  • WEBCASTS The NCEP NAM WRF Model



WEBCASTS The NCEP NAM WRF Model

  • WEBCASTS The NCEP NAM WRF Model



WEBCASTS Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis (RTMA)

  • WEBCASTS Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis (RTMA)



SEASONAL TRAINING Convective Parameterization

  • SEASONAL TRAINING Convective Parameterization



SUMMARY

  • SUMMARY

  • 8 years of NWP training

  • Navigation, how to find it

  • Start: MetEd site www.meted.ucar.edu

  • Register (free), log in

  • Select NWP under TOPICS

  • Operational Models Matrix (www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/pcu2/)

      • Individual NWP models, ensembles, wave models
      • NWP Course (conceptual background)
      • Model-specific information
      • Forums
      • Ensemble module
  • Case examples (www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/pcu3/cases/)

  • COMET Webcast modules – integrates content, cases

  • Seasonal Powerpoints – summaries, cases, content

  • VISITview teletraining – integrates content, cases http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/visit/topic_nwp.html



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