Hwt spring Experiment 2011 model comparisons 8-9 June ok-mo severe storms Storms develop along a dryline


НазваHwt spring Experiment 2011 model comparisons 8-9 June ok-mo severe storms Storms develop along a dryline
Дата конвертації05.05.2013
Розмір445 b.
ТипПрезентации


HWT Spring Experiment 2011 model comparisons 8-9 June OK-MO severe storms

  • Storms develop along a dryline

  • Timing is about 22-23z

  • Opportunity to see development of storms

  • Of our models only STMAS available

    • Compared to the HRRR for the 21z forecast cycle

8 June 2011: Line of severe storms develops from KS to OK

  • Slight Risk in place

  • Storms begin to develop by 21z then line rapidly develops near and after 00z Opportunity to compare runs beginning at 18z/30 May



8 June 2011 - overview



Forecasts from the 2100 UTC/8 June runs



2100 UTC 8 June 2011 runs – Analysis comparisons (composite reflectivity)



2100 UTC 8 June 2011 runs – 1-h forecast valid 2200 UTC (composite reflectivity)



2100 UTC 8 June 2011 runs – 2-h forecast valid 2300 UTC (composite reflectivity)



2100 UTC 8 June 2011 runs – 3-h forecast valid 0000 UTC/9 June (composite reflectivity)



2100 UTC 8 June 2011 runs – 4-h forecast valid 0100 UTC/9 June (composite reflectivity)



2100 UTC 8 June 2011 runs – 5-h forecast valid 0200 UTC/9 June (composite reflectivity)



2100 UTC 8 June 2011 runs – 6-h forecast valid 0300 UTC/9 June (composite reflectivity)



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